Get our trading strategies with our monthly & weekly forecast of currency pairs worth watching using support & resistance for the week of March 7, 2022.
This week I will begin with my monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of my forecast is based upon my research of the past 20 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:
Trading the two currencies that are trending the most strongly over the past 6 months.Trading against very strong weekly counter-trend movements by currency pairs made during the previous week.Carry Trade: Buying currencies with high interest rates and selling currencies with low interest rates.
Let us look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:
Monthly Forecast March 2022
For the month of February, I forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair will fall in value. The final performance to date of this forecast was very profitable, as follows:
Interest Rate Differential
+0.25% (0.25% – 0.00%)
For the month of March, I again forecast that the EUR/USD currency pair will fall in value.
Weekly Forecast 6th March 2022
In my previous forecast last week, I forecasted that the GBP/NZD currency cross was likely to rise in value, as it fell so strongly against its long-term trend over the previous week. Unfortunately, its price fell again by 2.99%.
I make no forecast for next week, as there were no sufficiently strong counter-trend price movements over the past week.
The Forex market saw its level of directional volatility increase strongly last week, with 78% of all the important currency pairs or crosses moving by more than 1% in value. Directional volatility is likely to remain very strong or even increase further over this coming week, due to dramatic events in Ukraine as the Russian invasion continues.
Last week was dominated by relative strength in the Swiss franc, and relative weakness in the euro.
You can trade our forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.
Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs
I teach that trades should be entered and exited at or very close to key support and resistance levels. There are certain key support and resistance levels that can be watched on the more popular currency pairs this week.
Key Support / Resistance Levels
Support: 0.7284, 0.7238, 0.7207, 0.7153
Resistance: 0.7390, 0.7430, 0.7439, 0.7454
Support: 1.0870, 1.0838, 1.0710, 1.0639
Resistance: 1.1050, 1.1068, 1.1091, 1.1142
Support: 1.3141, 1.3079, 1.3005, 1.2785
Resistance: 1.3273, 1.3316, 1.3357, 1.3458
Support: 114.55, 114.23, 113.07, 111.55
Resistance: 114.82, 115.29, 115.56, 115.87
Support: 84.27, 83.76, 82.41, 81.89
Resistance: 85.20, 87.46, 88.43, 89.49
Support: 124.24, 123.91, 123.54, 123.39
Resistance: 125.61, 127.61, 127.83, 128.76
Support: 1.2720, 1.2683, 1.2654, 1.2535
Resistance: 1.2812, 1.2901, 1.2959, 1.3025
Support: 0.9072, 0.9000, 0.8969, 0.8943
Resistance: 0.9291, 0.9370, 0.9387, 0.9438
That is all for this week. You can trade my forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account to test the strategies and strengthen your self-confidence before investing real funds.